AP Statistics

AP Statistics Unit 4 review: Inference for Quantitative Data: Means

Unit 4 uses sample means to estimate and test population means, paired differences and differences between independent groups. It is 10–20% of multiple choice. Expect to identify the design, check conditions and connect a t statistic or interval to a claim in context.

Unit 4 on the May 2027 exam

AP Statistics Unit 4 exam facts
2027 exam
Weight10–20% of the multiple-choice section
Exam dateTuesday, May 11, 2027, afternoon session
Multiple choice42 questions in 90 minutes, worth 50% of the exam score
Free response4 questions in 90 minutes, worth 50%. All answers are entered in Bluebook: two multi-focus questions, one inference question and a final multi-focus question.
CalculatorA graphing calculator with statistical capabilities is expected on both sections. Bluebook includes Desmos graphing. Nongraphing handheld calculators are not allowed in 2027.
Class timeAbout 18 class periods in College Board's pacing guide
2026 results17% of students scored a 5 on the whole exam, and about 62% scored 3 or higher

Sources: College Board's course and exam description, exam page, 2027 exam dates and score distributions.

What Unit 4 covers

College Board's course description splits the unit into 10 topics. The second column is what you should be able to do for each one.

AP Statistics Unit 4 topics
TopicWhat you should be able to do
4.1 Sampling Distributions for Sample MeansCalculate the center and spread of sample-mean distributions and assess normality conditions.
4.2 Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean DifferenceConstruct a t interval for a population mean or the mean of paired differences.
4.3 Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean DifferenceInterpret the interval and evaluate a claim about the population mean.
4.4 Setting Up a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean DifferenceDefine the parameter and hypotheses and verify conditions for one-sample or paired t inference.
4.5 Carrying Out a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean DifferenceCalculate a t statistic and p-value and justify a decision in context.
4.6 Sampling Distributions for the Difference Between Two Sample MeansDescribe the distribution of the difference between independent sample means.
4.7 Constructing a Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Population MeansConstruct a two-sample t interval using separate sample variances.
4.8 Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Population MeansInterpret a confidence interval for the difference between two population means.
4.9 Setting Up a Test for the Difference Between Two Population MeansState hypotheses and verify conditions for independent two-sample t inference.
4.10 Carrying Out a Test for the Difference Between Two Population MeansCalculate a two-sample t statistic and p-value and connect them to the population claim.

Choose paired or independent inference before calculating

Check random sampling or random assignment, independence and a suitable sampling distribution. For samples without replacement, verify the 10% condition.

Choose paired or independent inference before calculating
DesignStatistic and standard errorCondition to examine
One quantitative samplex̄; SE = s/√nApproximately normal population, n ≥ 30, or a smaller sample free of strong skewness and outliers. Extreme population skew can require more than 30.
Paired measurementsMean difference d̄; SE = sd/√n pairsUse at least 30 differences, or check that a smaller difference sample has no strong skewness or outliers.
Independent groupsx̄₁ − x̄₂; SE = √(s₁²/n₁ + s₂²/n₂)Independent groups; both n ≥ 30 or both populations approximately normal. If either n < 30, check both samples for strong skewness and outliers.
One-sample or paired testt = (estimate − null value)/SEUse df = n − 1, with n equal to the number of differences for paired data.
Confidence intervalEstimate ± t*SEUse the appropriate t critical value and degrees of freedom.
Two-sample degrees of freedomUse the procedure’s Welch calculation or an approved conservative approachDo not assume pooled variances without justification.
InterpretationInterval and test concern population meansThey do not describe a range containing most individual observations.

Common mistakes

Each of these loses points on questions you otherwise understand.

  • Stating hypotheses in terms of x̄. A hypothesis concerns a population mean μ or difference in means. CED printed p. 117.
  • Listing a condition without evidence from the study. Identify randomization and explain why the sampling distribution is suitable. CED p. 117.
  • Answering a convincing-evidence question with only two sample averages. Carry out the appropriate significance test and connect its p-value to α. CED p. 117.
  • Treating repeated measurements on the same units as independent groups. Compute one difference per pair and use its standard deviation. CED topics 4.2 and 4.4.

6 practice questions with answers

Written by Ashore for this page, in the style of the multiple-choice section. Try each one before you open the answer.

  1. Question 1 · 4.2

    A random sample of 25 observations has mean 42 and SD 10. Conditions for t inference hold. What is the standard error of the mean?

    • A0.4
    • B5
    • C2
    • D10
    Show the answer

    C. SE = s/√n = 10/√25 = 2. The sample SD describes individual observations; the standard error describes variability in sample means.

  2. Question 2 · 4.2

    For that sample, use x̄ = 42, SE = 2 and t* = 2.064 for a 95% interval. Which interval is correct?

    • A(37.872, 46.128)
    • B(39.936, 44.064)
    • C(40.000, 44.000)
    • D(21.360, 62.640)
    Show the answer

    A. The margin is 2.064(2) = 4.128. Add and subtract it from 42 to obtain (37.872, 46.128). The t critical value must multiply the standard error, not the sample SD.

  3. Question 3 · 4.5

    A test of H₀: μ = 50 uses n = 16, x̄ = 54 and s = 8. Conditions hold. What is the t statistic?

    • A0.50
    • B4.00
    • C8.00
    • D2.00
    Show the answer

    D. SE = 8/√16 = 2. Thus t = (54 − 50)/2 = 2.00, with 15 degrees of freedom. The numerator is the observed difference from the null mean.

  4. Question 4 · 4.4

    Twelve machines are measured before and after adjustment. The mean after-minus-before difference is −3 and its SD is 6. What is the SE for the mean difference?

    • A6/√24
    • B6/√12
    • C3/√12
    • D√(36 + 36)
    Show the answer

    B. There are 12 independent pairs and one difference per pair. Use the SD of those differences: SE = 6/√12 ≈ 1.732. Counting 24 separate measurements would ignore pairing.

  5. Question 5 · 4.7

    Two independent samples have n₁ = 36, s₁ = 12, n₂ = 64 and s₂ = 16. What is the SE of x̄₁ − x̄₂?

    • A0
    • B4
    • C√8
    • D√28
    Show the answer

    C. SE = √(12²/36 + 16²/64) = √(4 + 4) = √8 ≈ 2.828. Variances add for a difference of independent estimates; standard deviations do not subtract.

  6. Question 6 · 4.5

    A valid test of H₀: μ = 100 against Hₐ: μ > 100 gives p = 0.032. At α = 0.05, which conclusion is justified?

    • AReject H₀; there is evidence that the population mean exceeds 100
    • BReject H₀; there is a 96.8% probability the alternative is true
    • CFail to reject H₀; the population mean has been shown to equal 100
    • DFail to reject H₀; fewer than 5% of observations exceed 100
    Show the answer

    A. Because 0.032 < 0.05, reject H₀ and conclude there is evidence for μ > 100. The p-value is calculated assuming the null model; it is not the probability that either hypothesis is true.

How to study Unit 4

Before opening a calculator menu, determine whether observations are paired. If they are, write the subtraction order and create the difference list. If they are independent, preserve the two groups and use separate sample variances.

Practice the complete inference sequence: parameter, hypotheses or confidence level, method, conditions, calculation and conclusion. Translate the software’s t, degrees of freedom and p-value into a sentence about the actual measured variable and population.

Ashore's Stats course has a lesson and practice questions for every topic in this unit. The free starting check takes about 15 minutes and shows which ones are costing you points.

Questions

Still have a question? support@tryashore.com

It is 10–20% of the multiple-choice section, which is half the exam score. This is not a fixed share of the whole exam: free-response questions can combine units. Suggested pacing is 18 class periods.

Find the Stats topics costing you points

The starting check takes about 15 minutes. Free, no card.

Starting check

SAT Math · 1 of 5

Calculator allowed

A jacket's price is increased by 20% and then the new price is decreased by 20%. The final price is what percent of the original price?
  • A96%96\%
  • B100%100\%
  • C104%104\%
  • D80%80\%