AP Statistics Unit 4 review: Inference for Quantitative Data: Means
Unit 4 uses sample means to estimate and test population means, paired differences and differences between independent groups. It is 10–20% of multiple choice. Expect to identify the design, check conditions and connect a t statistic or interval to a claim in context.
Unit 4 on the May 2027 exam
| 2027 exam | |
|---|---|
| Weight | 10–20% of the multiple-choice section |
| Exam date | Tuesday, May 11, 2027, afternoon session |
| Multiple choice | 42 questions in 90 minutes, worth 50% of the exam score |
| Free response | 4 questions in 90 minutes, worth 50%. All answers are entered in Bluebook: two multi-focus questions, one inference question and a final multi-focus question. |
| Calculator | A graphing calculator with statistical capabilities is expected on both sections. Bluebook includes Desmos graphing. Nongraphing handheld calculators are not allowed in 2027. |
| Class time | About 18 class periods in College Board's pacing guide |
| 2026 results | 17% of students scored a 5 on the whole exam, and about 62% scored 3 or higher |
Sources: College Board's course and exam description, exam page, 2027 exam dates and score distributions.
What Unit 4 covers
College Board's course description splits the unit into 10 topics. The second column is what you should be able to do for each one.
| Topic | What you should be able to do |
|---|---|
| 4.1 Sampling Distributions for Sample Means | Calculate the center and spread of sample-mean distributions and assess normality conditions. |
| 4.2 Constructing a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference | Construct a t interval for a population mean or the mean of paired differences. |
| 4.3 Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference | Interpret the interval and evaluate a claim about the population mean. |
| 4.4 Setting Up a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference | Define the parameter and hypotheses and verify conditions for one-sample or paired t inference. |
| 4.5 Carrying Out a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference | Calculate a t statistic and p-value and justify a decision in context. |
| 4.6 Sampling Distributions for the Difference Between Two Sample Means | Describe the distribution of the difference between independent sample means. |
| 4.7 Constructing a Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Population Means | Construct a two-sample t interval using separate sample variances. |
| 4.8 Justifying a Claim Based on a Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Population Means | Interpret a confidence interval for the difference between two population means. |
| 4.9 Setting Up a Test for the Difference Between Two Population Means | State hypotheses and verify conditions for independent two-sample t inference. |
| 4.10 Carrying Out a Test for the Difference Between Two Population Means | Calculate a two-sample t statistic and p-value and connect them to the population claim. |
Choose paired or independent inference before calculating
Check random sampling or random assignment, independence and a suitable sampling distribution. For samples without replacement, verify the 10% condition.
| Design | Statistic and standard error | Condition to examine |
|---|---|---|
| One quantitative sample | x̄; SE = s/√n | Approximately normal population, n ≥ 30, or a smaller sample free of strong skewness and outliers. Extreme population skew can require more than 30. |
| Paired measurements | Mean difference d̄; SE = sd/√n pairs | Use at least 30 differences, or check that a smaller difference sample has no strong skewness or outliers. |
| Independent groups | x̄₁ − x̄₂; SE = √(s₁²/n₁ + s₂²/n₂) | Independent groups; both n ≥ 30 or both populations approximately normal. If either n < 30, check both samples for strong skewness and outliers. |
| One-sample or paired test | t = (estimate − null value)/SE | Use df = n − 1, with n equal to the number of differences for paired data. |
| Confidence interval | Estimate ± t*SE | Use the appropriate t critical value and degrees of freedom. |
| Two-sample degrees of freedom | Use the procedure’s Welch calculation or an approved conservative approach | Do not assume pooled variances without justification. |
| Interpretation | Interval and test concern population means | They do not describe a range containing most individual observations. |
Common mistakes
Each of these loses points on questions you otherwise understand.
- Stating hypotheses in terms of x̄. A hypothesis concerns a population mean μ or difference in means. CED printed p. 117.
- Listing a condition without evidence from the study. Identify randomization and explain why the sampling distribution is suitable. CED p. 117.
- Answering a convincing-evidence question with only two sample averages. Carry out the appropriate significance test and connect its p-value to α. CED p. 117.
- Treating repeated measurements on the same units as independent groups. Compute one difference per pair and use its standard deviation. CED topics 4.2 and 4.4.
6 practice questions with answers
Written by Ashore for this page, in the style of the multiple-choice section. Try each one before you open the answer.
Question 1 · 4.2
A random sample of 25 observations has mean 42 and SD 10. Conditions for t inference hold. What is the standard error of the mean?
- A0.4
- B5
- C2
- D10
Show the answer
C. SE = s/√n = 10/√25 = 2. The sample SD describes individual observations; the standard error describes variability in sample means.
Question 2 · 4.2
For that sample, use x̄ = 42, SE = 2 and t* = 2.064 for a 95% interval. Which interval is correct?
- A(37.872, 46.128)
- B(39.936, 44.064)
- C(40.000, 44.000)
- D(21.360, 62.640)
Show the answer
A. The margin is 2.064(2) = 4.128. Add and subtract it from 42 to obtain (37.872, 46.128). The t critical value must multiply the standard error, not the sample SD.
Question 3 · 4.5
A test of H₀: μ = 50 uses n = 16, x̄ = 54 and s = 8. Conditions hold. What is the t statistic?
- A0.50
- B4.00
- C8.00
- D2.00
Show the answer
D. SE = 8/√16 = 2. Thus t = (54 − 50)/2 = 2.00, with 15 degrees of freedom. The numerator is the observed difference from the null mean.
Question 4 · 4.4
Twelve machines are measured before and after adjustment. The mean after-minus-before difference is −3 and its SD is 6. What is the SE for the mean difference?
- A6/√24
- B6/√12
- C3/√12
- D√(36 + 36)
Show the answer
B. There are 12 independent pairs and one difference per pair. Use the SD of those differences: SE = 6/√12 ≈ 1.732. Counting 24 separate measurements would ignore pairing.
Question 5 · 4.7
Two independent samples have n₁ = 36, s₁ = 12, n₂ = 64 and s₂ = 16. What is the SE of x̄₁ − x̄₂?
- A0
- B4
- C√8
- D√28
Show the answer
C. SE = √(12²/36 + 16²/64) = √(4 + 4) = √8 ≈ 2.828. Variances add for a difference of independent estimates; standard deviations do not subtract.
Question 6 · 4.5
A valid test of H₀: μ = 100 against Hₐ: μ > 100 gives p = 0.032. At α = 0.05, which conclusion is justified?
- AReject H₀; there is evidence that the population mean exceeds 100
- BReject H₀; there is a 96.8% probability the alternative is true
- CFail to reject H₀; the population mean has been shown to equal 100
- DFail to reject H₀; fewer than 5% of observations exceed 100
Show the answer
A. Because 0.032 < 0.05, reject H₀ and conclude there is evidence for μ > 100. The p-value is calculated assuming the null model; it is not the probability that either hypothesis is true.
How to study Unit 4
Before opening a calculator menu, determine whether observations are paired. If they are, write the subtraction order and create the difference list. If they are independent, preserve the two groups and use separate sample variances.
Practice the complete inference sequence: parameter, hypotheses or confidence level, method, conditions, calculation and conclusion. Translate the software’s t, degrees of freedom and p-value into a sentence about the actual measured variable and population.
Ashore's Stats course has a lesson and practice questions for every topic in this unit. The free starting check takes about 15 minutes and shows which ones are costing you points.
- AP Statistics: all 5 units, exam format and scores
- AP Statistics Unit 1: Exploring One-Variable Data and Collecting Data
- AP Statistics Unit 2: Probability, Random Variables, and Probability Distributions
- AP Statistics Unit 3: Inference for Categorical Data: Proportions
- AP Statistics Unit 5: Regression Analysis
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